NFL divisional weekend: optimum prop bets, picks and suggestions

need some remaining-minute guidance while placing together your parlays for the weekend?

Our ESPN fantasy soccer consultants have obtained you coated. they have studied and analyzed all of the avid gamers across the league from a myth point of view all season and are able to offer insight on which player props are probably the most profitable for video games on Saturday and Sunday.

Quarterback props

Which QBs do you consider will go over or under their passing total this week?

Matt Bowen: Trevor Lawrence over 249.5 yards passing. in the nine games this season when making an attempt 35 or extra passes, including the Week 10 matchup versus the Chiefs, Lawrence has topped 250 yards in the air. And we may still are expecting the throwing volume for Lawrence to climb during this one to retain pace with Kansas metropolis. remember, the Chiefs are very described from a insurance viewpoint. Late rotation to cowl 2 right here, plus adaptations of man-coverage and man-force. are expecting Doug Pederson to have flow game solutions, which will install Lawrence to goal one-on-one matchups or throw to schemed voids.

Eric Karabell: When unsure, go with Josh Allen (o265.5). sure, the turnovers are a problem, but he threw for 352 passing yards towards the Dolphins anyway. The Bengals accepted the 10th-most passing yards this season, and this game may still be a shootout. The Bengals have offensive line harm issues, however we should still have confidence Joe Burrow to maintain the video game shut, if not win it. Allen could be throwing and amassing the passing yards, scoring numerous aspects.

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Mike Clay: Jalen Hurts beneath 246.5 pass yards. Hurts has cleared 246 move yards in 5 of his 15 games (33%) this season. Two of the video games wherein he did not reach 247 had been in opposition t these equal Giants, as he threw for 217 yards in Week 14 and 229 yards towards new york's backups in Week 18. big apple is midpack in yardage allowed to opposing passing games and surrendered at the least 247 move yards in only eight of 18 games this season (forty four%). The Eagles are 7.5-factor favorites, so a move heavy game script is unlikely and makes the beneath an even more desirable play.

box Yates: Dak Prescott over 250.5 passing yards. The definition of insanity is trying the equal thing again and again once again and expecting distinct results. For one motive or a different, teams endured to try and test the 49ers' run defense and have been grew to become away continuously. The Cowboys are certainly a team that loves to run the ball, but Sunday is a day to trust fending off madness. along these lines I feel Dak Prescott -- coming off one of the crucial choicest games he's ever performed -- surpasses 250.5 passing yards towards a protection that if it has a weak spot, is cornerback depth.

Eric Moody: I believe Mr. Karabell and like Josh Allen to surpass 266.5 passing yards. The Bengals and expenses are expected to have a high scoring matchup. This season, Allen has tried 35 or greater passes in eight games. In six of them, he has passed 266.5 passing yards. Daniel Jones might fall wanting his passing yard complete. In his playoff debut, he threw for 301 passing yards towards the Vikings. it's now Jones' flip to face the Eagles' mind-blowing pass defense. only 1 quarterback has thrown for more than 221.5 yards in Philadelphia's ultimate eleven video games. in opposition t the Eagles, the Giants can also rely greater on their operating video game.


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running back props

Which player do you feel will go over or under their speeding total this week?

Bowen: Patrick Mahomes over 23.5 yards dashing. within the Week 10 head-to-head matchup, Jacksonville performed split-protection coverage on fifty five% of Mahomes' dropbacks. Get to depth right here -- and work to restrict vertical throws -- with seven defenders shedding into insurance. but that also leaves loads of open grass for Mahomes when he makes use of his excessive-end 2nd reaction potential to get away the pocket. Mahomes rushed for 39 yards within the online game on seven contains. and that i would expect an analogous insurance script from Jacksonville on Saturday, with the intention to create alternatives for Mahomes on scramble attempts.

Karabell: Isiah Pacheco over fifty five.5 yards. Pacheco topped fifty six speeding yards in eight of the ultimate nine commonplace season games, forming a superb tandem with Jerick McKinnon, who catches passes out of the backfield. The brilliant Pacheco also ran for eighty two yards on 16 contains in opposition t these Jaguars in Week 10, when the rookie began organising himself as reliable. The Chiefs recognize. They determine to leap to an early lead and give Pacheco abundant possibility to grind out rushing yards and hold that lead in the second half.

Clay: Jerick McKinnon under 19.5 rush yards. McKinnon has reached 20 rush yards in exactly seven of 17 games (forty one%) this season. Three of these games had been all the way through the first 5 weeks of the season and the different 4 required six-plus contains all the way through Weeks eleven-15 -- all weeks in which Clyde Edwards-Helaire become out or left early. McKinnon has a grand complete of nine carries in his past three video games and didn't clear 7 yards in those outings. He'll proceed to defer most speeding work to Isiah Pacheco, and historical buddy Edwards-Helaire is additionally anticipated back in the rotation this week. Jacksonville is enabling 3.9 yards per carry to RBs this season, which is sixth lowest in the league. McKinnon's projection tests in at 14.7.

Clay: Joe Mixon under forty seven.5 rush yards. Mixon has reached forty eight yards in eight of 15 video games (fifty three%) this season, but has accomplished so in barely one among his final 4 outings. The primary perpetrator has been a decreased function because his return from damage in Week 14.



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vast Receiver/Tight end Props

Which WR/TE do you think will go over or under their receiving complete this week?

Bowen: Kyle Juszczyk over 5.5 yards receiving. Let's examine something distinctive here. Juszczyk has topped six yards receiving in nine of his previous 12 games, and we have to center of attention on how he can also be utilized in Kyle Shanahan's offense. When the 49ers have 21 personnel within the online game (2RB, 1TE, 2WR), Juszczyk has the formation flex to align in distinct spots. seize a monitor right here, or a throw to the flat, and this over will hit. i like it.

Karabell: DeVonta Smith (o63.5) reached 64 receiving yards in each of the remaining six regular season video games, topping 100 yards in four of those games. He can also no longer be identified as Philadelphia's No. 1 extensive receiver subsequent to A.J. Brown, however his 95 catches led the crew and set the franchise mark for a large receiver. Some might also prevent relying on the Eagles passing online game because Jalen Hurts and Lane Johnson aren't 100 percent fit, but they should be able to go. The Giants cannot cease both Brown and Smith.

Moody: DeVonta Smith is smartly located to surpassed 63.5 receiving, but bettors might also believe the sophomore receiver to finish with probably the most receiving yards this week at +1000. In 4 of his previous six video games, Smith recorded one hundred or greater receiving yards. This season, he had at least eight objectives and surpassed 63.5 yards receiving in both games towards the Giants. Defensively, ny may decide to take A.J. Brown away, which might be really useful for Smith. Smith is the type of player who may exceed expectations in opposition t a Giants protection it really is liable to the passing video game.

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    Christian Kirk is a different participant who's in a good spot to surpass 63.5 receiving yards. amongst Jacksonville receivers, he leads the crew in receiving yards, receptions, and touchdowns. This matchup between the Jaguars and Chiefs is expected to be excessive scoring. This also bodes well for Travis Kelce to move over 79.5 receiving yards. The Jaguars have had trouble defending tight ends all season. Kelce has averaged seventy eight.7 receiving yards per video game this season.

    Is there some other prop on the board you're looking at taking part in?

    Bowen: Stefon Diggs over 6.5 receptions. here's a matchup play for me with Diggs on the perimeter versus Bengals cornerbacks Eli Apple and rookie Cam Taylor-Britt. Given the volume of single-high insurance the Bengals play (cover 1, cover three), the expenses can isolate Diggs on second and third-stage throws.

    subsequent up, i admire Deebo Samuel over sixteen.5 yards rushing. Samuel has logged 20 or greater yards speeding in two of his past three video games, and we understand how he might be deployed as a runner from backfield alignments or on manufactured touches (fly sweeps). And Deebo has an extra apparatus when he receives to the area.

    ultimately, Tyler Boyd over 3.5 receptions. think of Boyd right here as an beneath goal who could make himself accessible to Joe Burrow versus zone insurance. locate the creases or work away from the leverage of the 2nd-degree defenders. This complete on Boyd has long past over in two of his past four games, and Burrow will ought to throw some unders when Buffalo performs 2-deep coverage.

    Moody: Saquon Barkley over 15.5 dashing makes an attempt is a prop i'm drawn to like a moth to the flame. This season, Barkley has averaged 18.four speeding makes an attempt per video game, including closing week's wild-card game against the Vikings. i would be shocked if Giants head teach Brian Daboll does not prioritize running against the Eagles, whose robust go well with is their move protection. Josh Jacobs and Derrick Henry have been the simplest avid gamers to general greater rushing makes an attempt per game than Barkley throughout the average season.


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